2014 Weather Watch Archive

SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR WAITOMO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TAUMARUNUI, TAUPO, TAIHAPE, WAIRARAPA, TARANAKI, WANGANUI, MANAWATU, WELLINGTON, MARLBOROUGH, NELSON, FIORDLAND ISSUED BY METSERVICE 20-Dec-2014

BURST OF HEAVY RAIN FOR PARTS OF THE COUNTRY THIS WEEKEND

A complex trough, preceded by a humid northerly flow, is expected to bring a period of rain to much of the country this weekend.  The heaviest falls are expected in Westland and about Mt Taranaki, where a Warning is in force. 

This Watch is for:

FIORDLAND from Milford Sound northwards, where heavy rain could approach warning criteria before easing late this afternoon.

NELSON, including the RICHMOND RANGE, where heavy rain could approach warning criteria from Saturday afternoon through to early Sunday morning.

HOROWHENUA and KAPITI, especially about the Tararua Range. A burst of heavy rain is expected from this evening until early Sunday morning.

However, rain is likely to continue about the Tararua Range until around midday Sunday.

WAITOMO and the remainder of TARANAKI, and across the CENTRAL NORTH ISLAND HILL COUNTRY to Lake Taupo, including TONGARIRO NATIONAL PARK, where a burst of heavy rain could approach short duration warning criteria from Saturday afternoon until early Sunday morning.

The ranges of BAY OF PLENTY east of Whakatane, where heavy rain may reach warning amounts Saturday night and Sunday morning.

People are advised to keep up to date with the latest forecasts, as parts of this Watch may be upgraded to a Warning and further areas will likely be added. In addition, people should be aware of the potential for hazardous driving conditions in many areas.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Saturday December 20th Forecast prepared by: Rochelle Fleming Forecast checked by: Leigh Matheson 

(C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2014

 

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND, WAIKATO, WAITOMO, TAUMARUNUI, TARANAKI, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TAUPO, TAIHAPE,

GISBORNE, HAWKES BAY, WAIRARAPA, MARLBOROUGH, CANTERBURY, WESTLAND, SOUTHLAND ISSUED BY METSERVICE  17-Nov-2014

WEST TO NORTHWEST GALES PERSIST IN SOME REGIONS UNTIL WEDNESDAY.HEAVY RAIN ABOUT WESTLAND RANGES TUESDAY 

A low moves southeastwards across the lower North Island tonight ( Monday).Strong northwesterlies across the northern half of the North Island should ease as the low moves away, but strong to gale westerlies spread over the country behind this low early Tuesday. A front is expected to move up the West Coast of the South Island during the day. 

A strong wind warning is in force for the Tararua District and Hawkes Bay south of Napier for Tuesday morning and afternoon.

This Watch is for strong winds in the following areas: AUCKLAND, WAIKATO, WAITOMO, TAUMARUNUI, TARANAKI, COROMANDEL PENINSULA,BAY OF PLENTY/ROTORUA, TAUPO and TAIHAPE: Northwest gales may become severe in exposed places until early Tuesday morning.

GISBORNE and HAWKES BAY north of Napier: Northwest gales may become severe through to midday Tuesday.

WAIRARAPA (except the Tararua District) including the Rimutaka Hill: Westerly gales may become severe at times from early Tuesday morning until Wednesday afternoon.

Inland parts of NORTH CANTERBURY and inland MARLBOROUGH: Northwest gales may become severe from mid-afternoon Tuesday until early Wednesday morning. FOVEAUX STRAIT AND STEWART ISLAND: Westerly gales may become severe from early Tuesday afternoon until late Tuesday evening.

This Watch is also for heavy rain in the following areas: WESTLAND RANGES: Rainfall accumulations may approach short duration warning amounts (70mm in 12 hours) during Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Forecasters will continue to monitor the situation and advise people in these areas to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case any part of this Watch needs to be upgraded to a Warning 

Note, the Watch for strong northwesterly winds about Northland is now lifted. 

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Tuesday 18 November


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, WAIKATO, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, WAITOMO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TAUMARUNUI, TAUPO, TAIHAPE,

GISBORNE, HAWKES BAY, WAIRARAPA, TARANAKI, WESTLAND, CANTERBURY, MARLBOROUGH ISSUED BY METSERVICE 17-Nov-2014

NORTHWEST GALES OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE NORTH ISLAND TODAY ( MONDAY), THEN ABOUT EASTERN AREAS FROM CANTERBURY TO GISBORNE TUESDAY. HEAVY RAIN ABOUT WESTLAND RANGES TUESDAY.

A low is expected to pass southeastwards across the lower North Island this evening. Strong northwesterlies are expected to spread across the northern half of the North Island as this low nears and crosses the country. Strong to gale westerlies spread over the country behind this low early Tuesday, with another front expected to move on to the South Island during the day.

A strong wind warning is now in force for the Tararua District and Hawkes Bay south of Napier for Tuesday morning and afternoon.

This Watch is for strong winds in the following areas: NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, WAIKATO, WAITOMO, TAUMARUNUI, TARANAKI, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY/ROTORUA, TAUPO and TAIHAPE: Northwest gales may become severe in exposed places from this afternoon until midnight tonight.

GISBORNE and remaining parts of HAWKES BAY: Northwest gales may become severe from mid-afternoon today through to mid-afternoon Tuesday.

Remaining parts of WAIRARAPA, including the Rimutaka Hill: Westerly gales may become severe from early morning Tuesday until mid-afternoon Tuesday.

Inland parts of NORTH CANTERBURY and inland MARLBOROUGH: Northwest gales may become severe from mid-afternoon Tuesday until early Wednesday morning.

This Watch is for heavy rain in the following areas: WESTLAND RANGES: Rain accumulations may approach short duration warning amounts (70 in 12 hours) during Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Forecasters will continue to monitor the situation and advise people in these areas to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case any part of this Watch needs to be upgraded to a Warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Monday 17 November

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, WAIKATO, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, WAITOMO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TAUMARUNUI, TAUPO, TAIHAPE,

GISBORNE, HAWKES BAY, TARANAKI ISSUED BY METSERVICE 16-Nov-2014

SEVERE NORTHWEST GALES POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE NORTH ISLAND ON MONDAY, CONTINUING IN GISBORNE AND HAWKES BAY INTO TUESDAY.

On Monday, a low is expected to deepen over the Tasman Sea, then track southeastwards across the lower North Island in the evening. Strong northwesterlies are expected to spread across the northern half of the North Island during Monday as this low nears and crosses the country. An associated front is also expected to bring a brief burst of heavy rain to northern New Zealand. At this stage localised heavy falls and thunderstorms are possible in Northland and Auckland Monday morning, though rainfall amounts are unlikely to approach short duration warning criteria (eg 50mm in 6 hours) 

This Watch is for strong winds in the following areas: NORTHLAND and AUCKLAND: Northwest gales may become severe from late Monday morning. Winds are expected to turn westerly in the evening, then ease overnight. 

WAIKATO, WAITOMO, TAUMAUNUI, TARANAKI, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY/ROTORUA, TAUPO and TAIHAPE: Northwest gales may become severe from Monday afternoon until Monday night.

GISBORNE and HAWKES BAY: Northwest gales may become severe from Monday afternoon through to Tuesday afternoon.

Forecasters will continue to monitor the situation and advise people in these areas to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case any part of this Watch needs to be upgraded to a Warning.

Note, the Watch for strong westerly winds about Hawkes Bay south of Napier and the Tararua District is now lifted.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Monday 17 November 2014


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, WAIKATO, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, WAITOMO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TAUMARUNUI, TAUPO, TAIHAPE,

GISBORNE, HAWKES BAY, WAIRARAPA, TARANAKI ISSUED BY METSERVICE 16-Nov-2014

WESTERLY GALES ABOUT THE TARARUA DISTRICT AND HAWKES BAY SOUTH OF NAPIER EASING TODAY. SEVERE NORTHWEST GALES POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE NORTH ISLAND TOMORROW.

The strong westerly flow covering the lower North Island eases today. On Monday, a low is expected to deepen over the Tasman Sea, then track southeastwards across the lower North Island in the evening. Strong northwesterlies are expected to spread across the northern half of the North Island during Monday as this low nears and crosses the country. An associated front is also expected to bring a brief burst of heavy rain to northern New Zealand. At this stage localised heavy falls and thunderstorms are possible in Northland and Auckland Monday morning, though rainfall amounts are unlikely to approach short duration warning criteria (eg 50mm in 6 hours).

This Watch is for strong winds about the TARARUA DISTRICT and HAWKES BAY SOUTH OF NAPIER: Westerly gales may become severe at times until around until early Sunday afternoon.

In addition, this Watch has now been extended to include: NORTHLAND and AUCKLAND: Northwest gales may become severe from late Monday morning until Monday evening.

WAIKATO, WAITOMO, TAUMARUNUI, TARANAKI, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY/ROTORUA, TAUPO and TAIHAPE: Northwest gales may become severe from Monday afternoon until Monday night.

GISBORNE and HAWKES BAY: Northwest gales may become severe from Monday afternoon through to Tuesday afternoon.

Forecasters will continue to monitor the situation and advise people in these areas to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case any part of this Watch needs to be upgraded to a Warning.

Note, the Watch for strong westerly winds today about Coromandel Peninsula and Western Bay of Plenty near the Kaimai Range is now lifted.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Sunday 16 November

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, HAWKES BAY, WAIRARAPA

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 15-Nov-2014

WESTERLY GALES FOR COROMANDEL PENINSULA, WESTERN BAY OF PLENTY NEAR THE KAIMAI RANGE AND FROM HAWKES BAY SOUTH OF NAPIER TO THE TARARUA DISTRICT.

A strong west to southwest flow covering the country is expected to slowly ease overnight and during Sunday.

This Watch is for strong winds about COROMANDEL, WESTERN BAY OF PLENTY NEAR THE KAIMAI RANGE, HAWKES BAY SOUTH OF NAPIER AND THE TARARUA DISTRICT. Westerly gales may become severe at times until around dawn on Sunday in Coromandel and western Bay of Plenty near the Kaimai Range, and until early Sunday afternoon in Hawkes Bay south of Napier and the Tararua District.

Forecasters will continue to monitor the situation and advise people in these areas to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case further warnings are necessary.

Note, the Watch for strong winds about AUCKLAND, THE CENTRAL PLATEAU, INLAND GISBORNE, FOVEAUX STRAIT and STEWART ISLAND is now lifted.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Sunday 16 November 2014

 

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, GISBORNE, TAUPO, TAIHAPE, TARANAKI, OTAGO, CANTERBURY,

BULLER, WESTLAND, WELLINGTON, WAIRARAPA, MANAWATU, NELSON ISSUED BY METSERVICE 14-Nov-2014

A FAST MOVING FRONT BRINGS A BURST OF HEAVY RAIN AND NORTHWEST GALES OVER THE SOUTH ISLAND AND PARTS OF THE NORTH ISLAND TONIGHT AND DURING SATURDAY

A front is expected to move rapidly eastwards over the South Island and southern North Island this evening and during Saturday. This front is preceded by very strong northwest winds and is set to bring a brief, but intense period of heavy rain to the west of the South Island.

A warning for heavy rain is in force for Fiordland, Westland and Buller. A warning for severe northwest gales is in force for Fiordland, Southland, Otago, inland Canterbury, Marlborough, Wellington, Wairarapa and Hawkes Bay.

This Watch is for heavy rain about THE WESTERN RANGES OF NELSON, THE OTAGO AND CANTERBURY HEADWATERS, THE TARARUA RANGE, MOUNT TARANAKI AND ABOUT TONGARIRO NATIONAL PARK. Rainfall amounts could approach short duration warning criteria (50mm in 6 hours) in these places. The heaviest rain is expected overnight Friday to Saturday in the Otago and Canterbury Headwaters, during Saturday morning for the western ranges of Nelson and the Tararua Range, and between about dawn and early afternoon Saturday about Mount Taranaki and the Tongariro National Park.

This Watch is also for strong winds about WESTLAND, BULLER, NELSON, MANAWATU and the KAPITI COAST. Northwest gales may become severe for a time in these areas during Saturday morning.

This Watch has now been extended for strong winds to include THE CENTRAL PLATEAU, INLAND GISBORNE, AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA and WESTERN BAY OF PLENTY NEAR THE KAIMAI RANGE. West to northwest gales may become severe for a time late Saturday morning and afternoon about the Central Plateau and Gisborne, and during Saturday afternoon and evening in Auckland, Coromandel Peninsula and western Bay of Plenty.

Forecasters will continue to monitor the situation and advise people in these areas to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case further warnings are necessary.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Saturday 15 November 2014


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND, WAIKATO, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, WAITOMO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TAUPO, TAIHAPE, TAUMARUNUI, GISBORNE,

HAWKES BAY, WAIRARAPA, TARANAKI, WANGANUI, MANAWATU ISSUED BY METSERVICE 29-Oct-2014

WESTERLY GALES FOR MUCH OF THE NORTH ISLAND

Westerly gales affecting much of the North Island are expected to ease late Thursday morning. However, westerly gales return to parts of the lower North Island for a time Friday.

This Watch is for: AUCKLAND, WAIKATO, WAITOMO, TAUMARUNUI, TARANAKI, WANGANUI,MANAWATU, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY, TAUPO, TAIHAPE and GISBORNE Westerly gales may become severe from tonight until late Thursday morning

HAWKES BAY and WAIRARAPA Severe westerly gales are possible until late Thursday morning, then again from Friday morning until Friday night.

People in these areas are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts in the event that any part of this Watch is upgraded to a Warning.

Note, winds have eased further south so the Watch for severe northwest gales about inland Marlborough and Wellington is now lifted.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Thursday 30 October

 

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR OTAGO, MARLBOROUGH, WELLINGTON, WAIRARAPA, TARANAKI, WANGANUI, HAWKES BAY, GISBORNE, TAIHAPE, TAUPO, TAUMARUNUI,

WAIKATO, WAITOMO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, AUCKLAND, NORTHLAND ISSUED BY METSERVICE 28-Oct-2014

WEST TO NORTHWEST GALES FOR MUCH OF NEW ZEALAND FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TO EARLY THURSDAY. HEAVY RAIN FOR NORTHLAND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A rainband is forecast to move across Northland during Wednesday morning, with possible thunderstorms. This has the potential for a short period of high intensity rainfall, which may approach warning amounts in the north and west of the region.

A series of fast moving fronts are expected to cross New Zealand from tonight through to Thursday, bringing strong to gale westerlies at times to much of the country.

The first period of gales is expected to affect the South Island and lower North Island tonight(Tuesday) and Wednesday morning. This Watch is for the possibility of severe northwest gales about inland Otago tonight and early Wednesday morning, and for inland Marlborough and Wellington during Wednesday morning and early afternoon. Note, a Severe Gale Warning is in force for inland Canterbury and Wairarapa.

The second period of westerly gales is expected to affect the central and upper North Island during Wednesday night and Thursday morning. This Watch is for the possibility of these gales becoming severe in TARANAKI,WANGANUI,WAIRARAPA,TAIHAPE,TAUMARUNUI,TAUPO,HAWKES BAY, GISBORNE,WAITOMO,WAIKATO,BAY OF PLENTY,COROMANDEL PENINSULA and AUCKLAND.

People in these areas are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts in the event that any part of this Watch is upgraded to a Warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Wednesday

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR MARLBOROUGH, WELLINGTON, WAIRARAPA, OTAGO, TARANAKI, WANGANUI, HAWKES BAY, GISBORNE, TAIHAPE, TAUPO, WAIKATO, 

TAUMARUNUI, WAITOMO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, AUCKLAND ISSUED BY METSERVICE 28-Oct-2014 

PERIODS OF WEST TO NORTHWEST GALES FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TO EARLY THURSDAY.

A series of fast moving fronts are expected to cross New Zealand today (Tuesday) and Wednesday, with periods of gale west to northwest winds over much of the country. The first period is expected to affect the South Island and lower North Island this evening and Wednesday morning, with further westerly gales affecting much of the North Island Wednesday night and Thursday morning.

A severe gale warning is now in force for Canterbury, mainly for the high country and foothills.

This Watch is for the possibility of severe northwest gales about OTAGO from tonight until early Wednesday morning, then MARLBOROUGH, WELLINGTON and WAIRARAPA late Wednesday morning and afternoon.

This Watch is also for the possibility of severe westerly gales about TARANAKI, WANGANUI, TAIHAPE, TAUMARUNUI, HAWKES BAY, GISBORNE, WAIRARAPA, TAUPO, WAITOMO, WAIKATO, BAY OF PLENTY, COROMANDEL PENINSULA and AUCKLAND Wednesday night and Thursday morning.

People in these areas are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts in the event that any part of this Watch is upgraded to a Warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Tuesday 28 October


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, GISBORNE, HAWKES BAY, BULLER

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 04-Oct-2014

SOUTHWEST WINDS EASING SATURDAY. HEAVY RAIN FOR WEST COAST ON SUNDAY WITH GALES IN THE EAST SPREADING TO MUCH OF NORTH ISLAND ON MONDAY.

The cold southwest flow over New Zealand is gradually easing today ( Saturday). On Sunday, a front moves onto the lower South Island preceded by heavy rain about and west of the Alps, with gales expected to become severe in eastern areas from Canterbury to Central Hawkes Bay. Heavy Rain and Strong Wind Warnings are now in force.On Monday, the front moves across the remainder of the country with westerly gales expected to spread across most of the North Island.

This Watch is for heavy rain in Buller and potential severe gales in eastern districts from Hawkes Bay up to Auckland.

BULLER: Expect a period of rain with heavy falls from Sunday evening to about dawn on Monday. Totals may approach short duration thresholds (eg 70mm in 12 hours).

HAWKES BAY FROM NAPIER NORTHWARDS AND GISBORNE: Northwesterlies forecast to strengthen Sunday afternoon and evening. On Monday, northwest gales are likely and these may become severe, but should ease late in the day.

AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA AND BAY OF PLENTY: Strong southwesterlies should continue to ease Saturday evening. On Monday, westerly gales are expected and these may become severe, with winds turning southwest late in the day.

People are advised to keep up to date with forecasts as further warnings may be issued, especially for gales on Monday.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Sunday 5th October, 2014.

 

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, BULLER 

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 04-Oct-2014

COLD WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EASING TODAY. RAIN FOR THE WEST COAST ON SUNDAY.

The cold west to southwest flow covering all of New Zealand is easing today (Saturday), as a slim ridge of high pressure approaches from the west. Road Snow Warnings are still in place for some higher roads.

Although winds should ease during the day, a Watch still remains in place for the possibility of severe west to southwest gale for Auckland, the Coromandel Peninsula, and western Bay of Plenty.

This watch also covers the likelihood of significant heavy rain in Buller from Sunday afternoon. A new Heavy Rain warning is in place for Fiordland and Westland, and people are urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts and warnings, in case this Watch is upgraded to a warning.

In the lower South Island southwest gales are easing, and the Watch for coastal parts of Southland and Otago has been lifted.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Saturday 4 October


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, SOUTHLAND, OTAGO

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 03-Oct-2014

COLD AND WINDY WEATHER EASING LATE SATURDAY, BUT RAIN AND GALES RETURN ON SUNDAY

The strong cold southwesterly flow covering New Zealand should ease late Saturday as a weak ridge approaches from the Tasman Sea.

Warnings for severe gales remain in force for the Tararua District and Hawkes Bay south of Napier. This Watch is for a risk of severe gales in other districts as follows...

AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA AND WESTERN BAY OF PLENTY: Southwest gales could be severe at times until Saturday evening, especially over Auckland and in the lee of the Coromandel and Kaimai Ranges.

COASTAL PARTS OF SOUTHLAND AND OTAGO: Southwest gales may be severe at times until late Saturday evening, especially about the Catlins and coastal hills up to and including the Otago Peninsula.

For more details about the cold outbreak, with snow to low levels affecting many higher roads, see the Special Weather Advisory and Road Snowfall Warnings.

On Sunday, a trough moves onto the South Island, bringing heavy rain to the West Coast and northwest gales to eastern areas from Canterbury to Hawkes Bay. People are advised to keep up to date with forecasts as Warnings are likely to be issued for this event over the weekend.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Saturday 4 October

 

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, SOUTHLAND, OTAGO

 ISSUED BY METSERVICE 03-Oct-2014 

WINDY DAYS AHEAD FOR MANY DISTRICTS, WITH COLD OUTBREAK

A strong cold westerly flow covers much of New Zealand ahead of a cold southwest outbreak that is forecast to sweep across the country today.

Warnings for severe gales are now in force for Wairarapa and Central Hawkes Bay. This Watch is for a risk of severe gales in other districts as follows...

AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA AND WESTERN BAY OF PLENTY: Westerly gales are expected to develop today. These gales could become severe at times, especially Saturday morning over Auckland and in the lee of the Coromandel and Kaimai Ranges.

COASTAL PARTS OF SOUTHLAND AND OTAGO: West to southwest gales may become severe from this evening through to Saturday afternoon, especially from Stewart Island and Foveaux Strait around to the Otago Peninsula including the coastal hills and Catlins.

For more details about the cold outbreak, with snow to low levels affecting higher roads, see the Special Weather Advisory and Road Snowfall Warnings.

Severe gales are no longer expected in Marlborough, Wellington, the Canterbury plains and the higher parts of the Banks Peninsula. The watch for severe gales in these areas has been cancelled.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm 3rd October


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR CANTERBURY, MARLBOROUGH, WELLINGTON,AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, SOUTHLAND,OTAGO

ISSUED BY METSERVICE  02-Oct-2014

WINDY DAYS AHEAD FOR MANY DISTRICTS, WITH COLD OUTBREAK ON FRIDAY.

A strong west to northwest flow covers much of New Zealand ahead of a cold southwest outbreak that is forecast to sweep across the South Island overnight tonight to Friday morning and the North Island later on Friday.

Warnings for severe gales are now in force for inland Canterbury, Wairarapa and Central Hawkes Bay. This Watch is for a risk of severe gales in other districts as follows...

CANTERBURY PLAINS AND HIGHER PARTS OF BANKS PENINSULA: Severe northwest gales could spread onto the Plains, especially near the foothills and also about higher parts of Banks Peninsula overnight Thursday to before dawn on Friday.

MARLBOROUGH AND WELLINGTON: Northwest gales could become severe in exposed places, especially about the Sounds and exposed hilltops in Wellington from tonight through to late Friday morning.

AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA AND WESTERN BAY OF PLENTY: Strong westerlies are expected to develop during Friday, then southwest gales overnight Friday into Saturday. These gales could become severe, especially Saturday morning over Auckland and in the lee of the Coromandel and Kaimai Ranges.

COASTAL PARTS OF SOUTHLAND AND OTAGO: West to southwest gales may become severe from overnight Friday through to Saturday afternoon, especially from Stewart Island and Foveaux Strait around to the Otago Peninsula including the coastal hills and Catlins.

For more details about the cold outbreak, with snow to low levels affecting higher roads, see the Special Weather Advisory and Road Snowfall Warnings.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Friday 3rd October


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR CANTERBURY, MARLBOROUGH, WELLINGTON,AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, SOUTHLAND,OTAGO

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 02-Oct-2014

WINDY DAYS AHEAD FOR MANY DISTRICTS, WITH COLD OUTBREAK ON FRIDAY.

A front moves across the country this afternoon and evening, followed by blustery northwest winds. A cold outbreak then sweeps across the South Island overnight Thursday to Friday morning.

Severe Gale Warnings are now in force for inland Canterbury, Wairarapa and Central Hawkes Bay. This Watch is for a risk of severe gales in other districts as follows...

CANTERBURY PLAINS: Severe northwest gales could spread onto the Plains, especially near the foothills, overnight Thursday to before dawn on Friday.

MARLBOROUGH AND WELLINGTON: Northwest gales from tonight could become severe in exposed places, especially about the Sounds and exposed hilltops in Wellington early Friday morning. Winds gradually easing later Friday morning.

AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA AND WESTERN BAY OF PLENTY: Strong to gale westerlies expected Friday afternoon, then southwest gales overnight Friday into Saturday. These gales could become severe, especially Saturday over Auckland and in the lee of the Coromandel and Kaimai Ranges.

COASTAL PARTS OF SOUTHLAND AND OTAGO: West to southwest gales may become severe from Friday evening through to Saturday afternoon, especially from Stewart Island and Foveaux Strait round to the Otago Peninsula including the coastal hills and Catlins.

For more details about the cold outbreak, with snow to low levels affecting higher roads, see the Special Weather Advisory and Road Snowfall Warnings.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Thursday 2nd October 2014 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR WESTLAND, BULLER, TARANAKI, TAUMARUNUI, WAITOMO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA

ISSUED BY METSERVICE  18-Sep-2014

HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED FOR THE WEST OF THE SOUTH ISLAND AND PARTS OF THE CENTRAL NORTH ISLAND

A broad trough of low pressure over the Tasman Sea is forecast to cross New Zealand over the next few days, with a series of fronts affecting the country from tonight (Thursday) through to Saturday. During this time, rain is expected in the north and west of both islands in a strong northwest flow.

A heavy rain warning is in force for Mount Taranaki and the Tararua Range.

This Watch covers the possibility of rainfall amounts reaching warning criteria (for example over 100mm falling within 24 hours) in the ranges of Buller and Westland from tonight (Thursday) until Saturday afternoon. This Watch also covers the possiblility of a significant period of rain over the central North Island high country extending inland from Taranaki to Tongariro and up to Waitomo from tonight through to Saturday morning, and about eastern Bay of Plenty ranges during Friday morning and afternoon. Rainfall totals in these areas could exceed warning criteria in locallised places, especially about higher terrain.

People in these areas are advised to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case parts of this Watch are upgraded to a full warning.

Note, rain about Fiordland is no longer expected to be significantly heavy and the Watch has been lifted.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Friday 19 September


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR FIORDLAND, WESTLAND, BULLER, TARANAKI, TAUMARUNUI, WAITOMO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 17-Sep-2014

HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED FOR THE WEST OF THE SOUTH ISLAND AND PARTS OF THE CENTRAL NORTH ISLAND

A broad trough of low pressure over the Tasman Sea is forecast to approach New Zealand over the next few days, with a series of fronts crossing the country from later on Thursday through to Saturday. During this time, rain is expected in the north and west of both islands in a strong northwest flow.

A heavy rain warning is now in force for Mount Taranaki.

This Watch covers the possibility of rainfall amounts reaching warning criteria (for example over 100mm falling within 24 hours) in the ranges of Buller, Westland and northern Fiordland during this time. This Watch also covers the possiblility of a significant period of rain over the central North Island high country extending inland from Taranaki to Tongariro and up to Waitomo from Thursday afternoon through Friday and possibly into Saturday, and about the eastern Bay of Plenty Ranges during Friday. Rainfall totals in these areas could also exceed warning criteria, especially about higher terrain.

People in all these areas are advised to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case parts of this Watch are upgraded to a full warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Thursday 18 September


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TARANAKI, NELSON, BULLER, WESTLAND, FIORDLAND

 ISSUED BY METSERVICE  11-Sep-2014 

PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN FOR THE NORTH AND WEST OF BOTH ISLANDS DURING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY

A complex trough of low pressure over the Tasman Sea is forecast to slowly cross New Zealand during Friday and Saturday. A moist northerly flow ahead of this trough is expected to bring a period of heavy rain to northern and western parts of both islands. 

A heavy rain warning is now in force for northeastern parts of Northland.

This Watch is for the possibility of rainfall amounts reaching warning criteria (100mm falling in under 24 hours) about the ranges of Fiordland and Westland during Friday, then the Buller and Nelson ranges, also Mt Taranaki during late Friday and early Saturday. 

In addition, this Watch is for the possibility of rainfall amounts reaching warning criteria (greater than 100mm in 24 hours) about Coromandel Peninsula and Bay of Plenty from late Friday through much of Saturday. 

MetService forecasters will continue to monitor the situation and advise people in these areas to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case part of this watch is upgraded to a full warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9am Friday 12 September


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TARANAKI, NELSON, BULLER, WESTLAND, FIORDLAND

ISSUED BY METSERVICE  11-Sep-2014

PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN FOR THE NORTH AND WEST OF BOTH ISLANDS DURING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY

A complex trough of low pressure over the Tasman Sea is forecast to move onto New Zealand late Friday and early Saturday before heading away to the east Saturday night. A moist northerly flow ahead of this trough is expected to bring a period of heavy rain to northern and western parts of both islands. The heaviest falls are expected about the ranges of Nelson, Buller, Westland and Fiordland, also Mt Taranaki, Coromandel Peninsula and Bay of Plenty, with a period of significant rain possible about Northland.

For Fiordland and southern Westland, the rain is expected to pick up early Friday morning and then ease Friday evening. Meanwhile, for the ranges of northern Westland, Buller and Nelson and also Mt Taranaki, the rain should pick up Friday afternoon and then ease Saturday morning or early afternoon. This WATCH is for the possibility of rainfall amounts reaching warning criteria (for example 100mm falling in under 24 hours) in these areas, mainly about the higher ranges.

A period of heavy rain is expected for northern and eastern parts of Northland from around midday Friday through to Friday evening and again for a time during Saturday. Shorter term rainfall amounts could also reach warning criteria during these times (for example 50 to 70mm falling in a 6 to 9 hour period), especially if any thunderstorms develop.

Finally, significant rain is expected about higher parts of Coromandel Peninsula and Bay of Plenty from late Friday through much of Saturday. Rainfalls in these areas could also reach warning criteria (for example 100mm falling in under 24 hours), most especially about the ranges of eastern Bay of Plenty.

MetService forecasters will continue to monitor the situation and advise people in these areas to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case part of this watch is upgraded to a full warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Thursday 11th September 2014

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA ISSUED BY METSERVICE 05-Sep-2014

LOCALISED HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE ABOUT THE BAY OF PLENTY SATURDAY MORNING

A broad complex low over the Tasman Sea is expected to move slowly east over the upper North Island on Saturday. A series of active troughs are expected to bring heavy showers at times to northern parts of the North Island both today and Saturday.

This Watch is for the possibility that a trough moving through the Bay of Plenty during Saturday morning may produce locally heavy rain for a time, which could cause surface flooding in isolated areas.

People are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecast in case this Watch is upgraded to a warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Friday 5 September Forecast prepared by: Leigh Matheson Forecast checked by: Chris Noble

For further information after 2pm Friday 5 September contact Duty Forecaster Hordur Thordarson

(C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2014

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, GISBORNE, TARANAKI

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 19-Aug-2014

PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN FOR PARTS OF THE NORTH ISLAND THIS EVENING AND WEDNESDAY.

A low moving east over the Tasman Sea is expected to spread a band of rain southward over the North Island and upper South Island from late today (Tuesday) and Wednesday. A second band of heavy showers then follows later on Wednesday, affecting northern parts of the North Island.

A heavy rain warning is now in force for the Coromandel Range and western Bay of Plenty.

This Watch is for the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach short duration warning amounts (70mm or greater in 12 hours), especially in localised areas, about Northland this afternoon and evening (Tuesday), and about Auckland from this evening until early Wednesday morning. Note, further showers are expected in these areas during Wednesday afternoon or evening, some may be locally intense with thunder.

In addition, this Watch is for periods of heavy rain about the ranges of eastern Bay of Plenty and northern Gisborne, which includes the Raukumara Range, and Mt Taranaki from tonight through to early Thursday, total accumulations could approach warning amounts.

People in the affected areas are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts in the event any part of this Watch is upgraded to a warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Tuesday 19 August

 

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA

ISSUED BY METSERVICE  18-Aug-2014

PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY

A low moving east over the Tasman Sea is expected to spread a band of rain southward over the North Island and upper South Island during Tuesday and Wednesday.

A period of heavy rain is expected about the upper North Island from Tuesday afternoon, with isolated thunderstorms possible. This Watch is for the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach short duration warning amounts (70mm or greater in 12 hours), especially in localised areas, about Northland during Tuesday afternoon and evening, and about Auckland, Coromandel Peninsula and western Bay of Plenty from late Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday morning.

People in the affected areas are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts in the event any part of this Watch is upgraded to a warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Tuesday August 19th

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 18-Aug-2014

PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY

A low moving east over the Tasman Sea is expected to spread a band of rain southward over the North Island and upper South Island during Tuesday and Wednesday.

A period of heavy rain is expected about the upper North Island from Tuesday afternoon, with isolated thunderstorms possible. This Watch is for the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach short duration warning amounts (70mm or greater in 12 hours), especially in localised areas, about Northland during Tuesday afternoon and evening,and about Auckland, Coromandel Peninsula and western Bay of Plenty from late Tuesday afternoon until early Wednesday morning.

People in the affected areas are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts in the event part of this Watch is upgraded to a warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Monday 18 August

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR FIORDLAND, SOUTHLAND, OTAGO, CANTERBURY, BULLER, MARLBOROUGH, WAIRARAPA, NELSON, TARANAKI, WANGANUI, HAWKES

BAY, WAIKATO, WAITOMO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, AUCKLAND, TAUMARUNUI, TAIHAPE ISSUED BY METSERVICE 13-Aug-2014

STRONG TO GALE SOUTHWESTERLIES AFFECTING MUCH OF THE COUNTRY THURSDAY. ALSO, SNOW AFFECTING THE FAR SOUTH AND THE NORTH ISLAND HIGH COUNTRY.

A front is expected to spread further cold southwesterlies over the country today (Wednesday). A second trough follows on Thursday, bringing colder temperatures and rising the southwesterlies to gale in many places. Snow is expected to lower to near sea level in the far south.

A strong wind warning is now in force for eastern Otago and Golden Bay.

This Watch is for the possibility that snow accumulations could approach warning amounts (greater than 10cm in 6 hours) above 300 metres about southern Fiordland, Southland, Clutha, including the Otago ranges south of Alexandra, from early Thursday morning through to Thursday evening. In addition, the potential for heavy snow also includes Banks Peninsula above 300 metres from Thursday afternoon through to early Friday morning, and the central North Island high country above 800 metres during Thursday.

Snow is likely to cause disruption in the far south tomorrow, especially affecting higher roads; blizzard conditions are likely in exposed areas.

This Watch is also for the potential of southwesterly gales approaching severe gale about remaining parts of Southland during Thursday morning, then about Buller and remaining parts of Nelson during Thursday afternoon. Also, Banks Peninsula, coastal Marlborough and southern Wairarapa from Thursday afternoon through to Friday morning. In addition, the potential for severe southwest gales includes Hawkes Bay, Taihape, Wanganui, Taranaki, Waikato, Waitomo, Coromandel Peninsula, Auckland and western parts of Bay of Plenty during Thursday afternoon and evening.

People in the affected areas are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecast in the event part of this watch is upgraded to a warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Wednesday 13 August


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA ISSUED BY METSERVICE 11-Aug-2014

 RAIN WITH HEAVY FALLS IN EASTERN BAY OF PLENTY ON TUESDAY

 A series of fronts is forecast to move across the North Island overnight Monday and during Tuesday. These fronts will bring periods of rain with some heavy falls to many central and northern parts of the North Island. The largest accumulations are expected about the ranges in eastern Bay of Plenty, where a Watch for heavy rain remains in force. Rainfall totals from overnight Monday until early Tuesday afternoon may approach short duration warning thresholds (such as 70mm in 12 hours). People in the area are advised to keep up to date with forecasts in case this Watch for Bay of Plenty is upgraded to a Warning. 

Farther south, rain in Buller has eased with the passage of these fronts, and strong winds from North Canterbury up to Wairarapa have also eased. The Watches for these areas are now lifted.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Tuesday 12th August, 2014 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR CANTERBURY, BULLER, MARLBOROUGH, WAIRARAPA, WELLINGTON, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 11-Aug-2014

PERIOD OF RAIN AND STRONG NORTHWESTERLIES FOR THE SOUTH ISLAND AND LOWER NORTH ISLAND TODAY. PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN IN EASTERN BAY OF PLENTY ON TUESDAY.

A front over southern New Zealand this morning is expected to continue moving over the South Island during Monday and move onto the lower North Island this evening. The front should then move over northern New Zealand overnight Monday and during Tuesday.

Heavy rain associated with the front should ease in Fiordland this morning and Westland this afternoon, and bring a period of heavy rain to the Tararua Range and Mount Taranaki this evening. A heavy rain warning is in force for these areas.

This Watch covers the possibility that a period of heavy rain in the ranges of Buller this afternoon and in the ranges of eastern Bay of Plenty during Tuesday could approach warning amounts.

Additionally the strong northwesterlies ahead of the front are likely to be gale over the upper South Island and lower North Island for a time during today. This Watch also covers the potential for these strong northwesterlies to rise to severe gale strength in exposed parts of north Canterbury, Marlborough, Wellington and Wairarapa.

People are advised to keep up to date with the latest forecasts in case any part of this watch needs to be upgraded to a warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Monday 11 August 2014 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TAUPO, TARANAKI, HAWKES BAY, WANGANUI, MANAWATU, WELLINGTON, BULLER, MARLBOROUGH

 

ISSUED BY METSERVICE  02-Aug-2014

 

HEAVY RAIN AND GALES FOR PARTS OF THE NORTH ISLAND AND UPPER SOUTH ISLAND.

 

A front over the South Island is expected to move slowly northeast over the North Island on Sunday. A strong, moist northwest flow preceding this front is bringing heavy rain and northwest gales to parts of the central North Island and upper South Island tonight ( Saturday) and Sunday. Meanwhile, a cold southwest change is moving over the South Island tonight and Sunday, bringing some snow to the high country areas.

 

A heavy rain Warning is in force for the Westland Ranges south of Otira,the Canterbury Headwaters, Mount Taranaki, the Tararua Range and the North Island high country from Tongariro National Park to Taranaki.

 

A Warning for severe gales is in force for Marlborough, Wellington, Wairarapa and Taihape.

 

This Watch is for the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach warning amounts about the Buller Ranges, Marlborough Sounds and the hills of Wellington and the Kapiti Coast from tonight ( Saturday) until early Sunday morning. Also, rainfall amounts could reach warning amounts about the ranges of Taupo and eastern ranges of Bay of Plenty on Sunday and a Watch will be maintained.

 

In addition, this Watch is for the possibility of the strong to gale northwesterlies over the lower North Island reaching severe gale in Taranaki, Wanganui and Hawkes Bay tonight and early Sunday.

 

People in the affected areas are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts in the event part of this Watch is upgraded to a warning.

 

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Sunday 3 August

 

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TAUPO, TAIHAPE, TARANAKI, TAUMARUNUI, HAWKES BAY, WANGANUI, MANAWATU, WELLINGTON,

BULLER, MARLBOROUGH, SOUTHLAND ISSUED BY METSERVICE  02-Aug-2014

HEAVY RAIN AND GALES FOR THE SOUTH ISLAND AND THE LOWER AND CENTRAL NORTH ISLAND

A strong, moist northwest flow covering New Zealand is expected to remain until an active trough moves up the country during today and Sunday,bringing a colder southwest change.

A heavy rain Warning is in force for Westland south of Otira, the Canterbury and Otago Headwaters, Mount Taranaki and the Tararua Range. The watch for heavy rain over the North Island high country from Tongariro National Park to Taranaki has been upgraded to a Warning.

A Warning for severe gales is in force for Canterbury, Marlborough, Wellington and Wairarapa.

This Watch is for the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach warning amounts about the Buller Ranges, Marlborough Sounds and the hills of Wellington and the Kapiti Coast from Saturday afternoon until early Sunday. Heavy rain is no longer expected in Southland and the watch for this area has been cancelled.

Rainfall amounts could reach short term warning thresholds, for example 70mm in 12 hours, over Taupo and the eastern ranges of the Bay of Plenty on Sunday, and this area has been added to the watch.

In addition, this Watch is for the possibility of the strong to gale northwesterlies over the southern North Island reaching severe gale in Taranaki, Wanganui and Hawkes Bay during Saturday or early Sunday. The watch for severe gales in Taihape has been upgraded to a Warning.

People should be aware that further areas may be included in this watch, or upgraded to a warning as this event progresses, and are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts.>

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm 2nd August

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, WAIKATO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TARANAKI, MARLBOROUGH, BULLER

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 11-Jul-2014

HEAVY RAIN FOR NORTHERN AREAS OF BOTH ISLANDS AND THE WEST OF THE SOUTH ISLAND. NORTHEASTERLY GALES FOR SOME NORTH ISLAND AREAS.

An intense trough is expected to approach the country overnight Friday and cross northern and central New Zealand during Saturday. A strong and moist northeast flow ahead of the trough is bringing rain with areas of heavy rain to many areas of the country, especially in the north of both islands and in the west of the South Island.

Heavy Rain Warnings are in place for Northland, Nelson, Westland and Fiordland.

This watch is for the possibility of significant heavy rain overnight Friday and during Saturday in the ranges of Buller and Marlborough including the Marlborough Sounds, during Saturday about Auckland and the Coromandel Peninsula, and from Saturday afternoon into Sunday in the Bay of Plenty.

This watch is also for the possibility of northeasterlies reaching severe gale in exposed places of Taranaki, overnight Friday and during Saturday.

Also as the main frontal rainband crosses northern New Zealand, northeasterly gales could briefly rise to severe gale in some places. The Watch for severe gales in Northland and Auckland has now been upgraded to a warning, and a watch for possible severe gales will now be maintained for Coromandel Peninsula and the Waikato.

People in these areas are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts and warnings.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9am Saturday 12 July 2014

 


Valid to 8:41pm Tuesday 1 Jul 2014

SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, SOUTHLAND, FIORDLAND, OTAGO

ISSUED BY METSERVICE  30-Jun-2014

PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN FOR THE EASTERN BAY OF PLENTY RANGES TONIGHT ( MONDAY). SNOW FOR THE LOWER SOUTH ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY.

A front, preceded by a moist northerly flow, is moving slowly east over the central North Island. Rain is expected about most central North Island areas this evening (Monday), with the heaviest falls likely about the eastern Bay of Plenty Ranges until midnight tonight.

This watch is for the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach short-term warning amounts (50mm in 6 hours) about the eastern Bay of Plenty ranges this evening, with isolated heavy falls possible.

SNOW EVENT FOR THE LOWER SOUTH ISLAND ON WEDNESDAY

Wintry showers and strong, bitterly cold southerlies are expected to spread over the lower South Island early Wednesday morning and persist until early Thursday morning. Snow is expected to about 200 to 300 metres, with significant accumulations above 400 metres.

This Watch is for the possibility that snowfall accumulations could approach warning amounts (25cm in 24 hours) above 400 metres about Fiordland, Southland, and southern parts of Otago, including Clutha, during Wednesday.

People are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecast in the event this Watch is upgraded to a warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9am Tuesday 1 July


Valid to 8:29pm Monday 30 Jun 2014

SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR FIORDLAND, WESTLAND, BULLER, OTAGO, CANTERBURY, NELSON, MARLBOROUGH, TARANAKI, WELLINGTON, BAY OF PLENTY

ROTORUA ISSUED BY METSERVICE 29-Jun-2014

PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN AND NORTHERLY GALES FOR WESTERN AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE SOUTH ISLAND, ALSO TARANAKI, WELLINGTON AND THE EASTERN BAY OF PLENTY RANGES

A front is forecast to move across New Zealand on Monday, preceded by a strong to gale northerly flow. A period of heavy rain is expected about northern and western parts of the country overnight tonight ( Sunday) into Monday.

A heavy rain warning is currently in force for northern Fiordland and the Westland ranges south of about Harihari. A heavy rain warning has now been issued for Mt Taranaki.

This Watch is for the possibility that rainfall accumulations will exceed short duration warning criteria about the Westland Ranges north of Harihari and the Canterbury Headwaters during Monday morning, about the ranges of Nelson Monday morning and early afternoon, and about the eastern Bay of Plenty Ranges from Monday evening until early Tuesday morning.

Northerly gales are forecast for exposed parts of Fiordland, the Otago Lakes, Westland, Buller and the Canterbury High Country overnight tonight (Sunday to Monday). Northerly gales are also expected in parts of Taranaki, Marlborough and Wellington Monday morning and early afternoon. This Watch is for the possibility of these gales becoming severe.

People are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts, in case further warnings become necessary.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Monday 30 June

 


Valid to 3:23pm Thursday 26 Jun 2014

 

SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TARANAKI, MANAWATU, NELSON, MARLBOROUGH

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 25-Jun-2014

A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE GALES FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ZEALAND

A trough over the Tasman Sea is expected to move slowly east over southern and central New Zealand today and over the north of the country early Thursday, bringing a period of heavy rain and severe gales to many areas.

Heavy rain is expected for the eastern ranges of Bay of Plenty and northern Gisborne, Mt. Taranaki, the Tararua Range, the western ranges of Nelson,Buller, Westland also for the headwaters of the Canterbury lakes and rivers, and a heavy rain warning is currently in force for these areas.

This watch is for rainfall accumulations possibly reaching warning amounts in the Richmond Range of Nelson and Marlborough during today, about the central North Island high country areas of Tongariro National Park and Taihape, northern and eastern areas of Northland and remaining areas of the Bay of Plenty and Rotorua from today and into Thursday. Note, Great Barrier Island could also see 30 to 50mm of rain in a 9 hour period overnight Wednesday and early Thursday.The watch for heavy rain about the Tararua Range has been upgraded to a warning.

Additionally, a warning is currently in force for severe gale north to northwest winds in Wellington and Marlborough. This watch also covers the possibility that north to northwest gales could become severe today about exposed places of Nelson, the Kapiti Coast, Wanganui,Taranaki and about Taihape.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm 25th June

 

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TARANAKI, TAIHAPE, WANGANUI, WELLINGTON, NELSON ISSUED BY METSERVICE 25-Jun-2014

A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE GALES FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ZEALAND

A trough over the Tasman Sea is expected to move slowly east over southern and central New Zealand today and over the north of the country early Thursday, bringing a period of heavy rain and severe gales to many areas.

Heavy rain is expected for the eastern ranges of Bay of Plenty and northern Gisborne, Mt. Taranaki, the western ranges of Nelson, Buller, Westland also for the headwaters of the Canterbury lakes and rivers, and a heavy rain warning is currently in force for these areas.

This watch is for rainfall accumulations possibly reaching warning amounts in the Richmond Range of Nelson and Marlborough and about the Tararua Range during today, about the central North Island high country areas of Tongariro National Park and Taihape, northern and eastern areas of Northland and remaining areas of the Bay of Plenty and Rotorua from today and into Thursday. Note, Great Barrier Island could also see 30 to 50mm of rain in a 9 hour period overnight Wednesday and early Thursday.

Additionally, a warning is currently in force for severe gale north to northwest winds about inland Canterbury, Wellington and Marlborough. This watch also covers the possibility that north to northwest gales could become severe today about exposed places of Nelson, the Kapiti Coast, Wanganui, Taranaki and about Taihape.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Wednesday 25 June 2014 Forecast prepared by: Gerard Barrow Forecast checked by: Heath Gullery

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, WAIKATO, WAITOMO, TAUPO, TAUMARUNUI, TAIHAPE, BULLER

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 10-Jun-2014

HEAVY RAIN MOVING SOUTH TO CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH ISLAND WEDNESDAY WITH STRONG EASTERLIES FOR CENTRAL NEW ZEALAND.

A complex low pressure system is expected to move westwards across the upper North Island overnight Tuesday then move slowly away from the North Island during Wednesday. Heavy rain in a moist east to northeast flow associated with the low is expected to become focused about central and eastern regions of the North Island during Wednesday.

A heavy rain warning is in force for the Coromandel Peninsula, Bay of Plenty, the ranges of Gisborne and Hawkes Bay, the Rangitikei District of Taihape and the hills and ranges of Wairarapa and eastern Wellington.

This Watch covers the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach warning thresholds about remaining areas of Bay of Plenty, including the hills of Waikato until late Wednesday and also about Taupo and Tongariro National Park from tonight until late Thursday.

Additionally, the low moving south over the upper North Island is expected to bring a period of strong easterly gales to northern and central North Island areas Tuesday night and during Wednesday.

A strong wind warning for easterly severe gales is now in force for Northland, Auckland,the Coromandel Peninsula and eastern Waikato.( Note, the strong westerlies expected over Northland following the low now look unlikely to reach severe gale strength, but a watch for this possibility happening overnight Tuesday will be maintained).

This Watch covers the possibility that east to northeast winds could rise to severe gale for a time in remaining parts of Waikato,Waitomo and Taumarunui overnight Tuesday and during Wednesday morning.Also, easterly gales may become severe for a time about Buller during Wednesday morning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9am Wednesday 11 June 2014

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, WAIKATO, TAUPO, TAUMARUNUI, WAITOMO, WAIRARAPA, BULLER

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 10-Jun-2014

HEAVY RAIN ABOUT NORTHERN AND EASTERN PARTS OF BOTH ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. GALES FOR THE UPPER NORTH ISLAND AND BULLER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A large complex trough lying slow moving to the west of New Zealand directs a moist northeast flow over northern and central parts of the country. A low embedded within this trough is expected to move south over the upper North Island overnight tonight and deepen (Tuesday to Wednesday), moving the rain-band slowly south over the North Island east coast during Wednesday. Rain is expected to persist about the northern parts of the North Island and northeastern parts of the South Island today and part of Wednesday, before spreading over eastern parts of the North Island during Wednesday and Thursday.

A heavy rain warning remains in force for Northland, Auckland, Coromandel Peninsula, western Bay of Plenty, Mt Taranaki, Nelson, Marlborough, and the Canterbury high country and foothills, and now includes Gisborne and Hawkes Bay.

This Watch covers the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach warning thresholds about remaining areas of Bay of Plenty, including the hills of Waikato until late Wednesday, also about Taupo and Tongariro National Park, also the hills and ranges of Wairarapa from tonight until late Thursday.

Additionally, the low embedded in the trough is expected to move south over Northland tonight, this low is preceded by a period of east to northeast gales, with westerly gales behind.

A severe gale warning is now in force for Northland, Auckland and the Coromandel Peninsula.

This Watch covers the possibility that east to northeast winds could rise to severe gale in Waikato and Waitomo from tonight until early Wednesday morning. Also, easterly gales may become severe for a time about Buller during Wednesday morning.

This is a slow-moving system which is expected to affect many parts of the country over the next few days. People are advised to keep up to date with latest forecasts in case any part of this Watch is upgraded to a warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Tuesday 10 June

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, WAIKATO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, GISBORNE, HAWKES BAY, TAUPO, TARANAKI

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 09-Jun-2014

HEAVY RAIN OVER NORTHERN PARTS OF BOTH ISLANDS. NORTHEAST GALES ABOUT AUCKLAND TUESDAY NIGHT.

A complex trough, with a series of lows moving south over the Tasman Sea, is directing a moist northeast flow over northern and central parts of New Zealand. A prolonged period of rain is expected about much of the North Island and northeastern parts of the South Island over the next few days. In addition, a period of northeast gales is expected about the upper North Island Tuesday night, as this trough approaches the country.

A heavy rain warning is currently in force for Northland, Auckland, Coromandel Peninsula, western Bay of Plenty, Nelson, Marlborough, and the Canterbury high country and foothills.

This Watch covers the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach warning thresholds about remaining areas of Northland and Bay of Plenty, including the hills of Waikato and Mt Taranaki from today (Monday) until late Wednesday, also about the ranges of Gisborne,Hawkes Bay and Taupo from Tuesday evening until late Thursday.

In addition, northeast gales are expected Tuesday night through to early Wednesday morning about Auckland. Auckland is now included in this Watch is for the possibility that these gales may become severe about exposed areas during this time.

Heavy rain is no longer expected about Westland and the Watch is lifted.

This is a slow-moving system which is expected to affect many parts of the country over the coming week. People are advised to keep up to date with latest forecasts in case part of this Watch is upgraded to a warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Monday 9 June


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TARANAKI, WESTLAND

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 08-Jun-2014

HEAVY RAIN OVER NORTHERN PARTS OF BOTH ISLANDS

A low over the north Tasman Sea is expected to move southwards and become slow moving west of the upper South Island by midday Monday. The low will spread a moist northeast flow over New Zealand during, bringing rain to many northern and central areas of New Zealand.

A period of significant heavy rain is expected during Monday and into Tuesday in northern and eastern Northland, the Coromandel Peninsula, Nelson, Marlborough and areas of the Canterbury High Country and foothills. A heavy rain Warning is in force for these areas.

This Watch covers the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach warning thresholds in Westland from Sunday night through Monday, and in remaining areas of Northland, Auckland, the western Bay of Plenty and about Mount Taranaki during Monday and into Tuesday.

People are advised to keep up to date with latest forecasts in case any of the areas in this Watch needs to be included in future warnings.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Monday 9 June


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TARANAKI, WESTLAND

ISSUED BY METSERVICE AT  08-Jun-2014

HEAVY RAIN OVER NORTHERN PARTS OF BOTH ISLANDS DEVELOPING MONDAY

An active low over the north Tasman Sea is expected to move southwards during Sunday to lie west of the North Island by midnight and become slow moving west of the upper South Island by midday Monday. The low will spread a moist northeast flow over New Zealand during Sunday and Monday, bringing rain to many northern and central areas of New Zealand.

A period of significant heavy rain is expected during Monday and into Tuesday in northern and eastern Northland, the Coromandel Peninsula, Nelson, Marlborough and areas of the Canterbury High Country and foothills. A heavy rain Warning is in force for these areas.

This Watch covers the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach warning thresholds in Westland from Sunday to early Monday, and in remaining areas of Northland, Auckland, the western Bay of Plenty and about Mount Taranaki during Monday and into Tuesday.

People are advised to keep up to date with latest forecasts in case any of the areas in this Watch needs to be included in future warnings.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Sunday 8 June 2014

 


Valid to 8:24am Sunday 20 Apr 2014

SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, FIORDLAND ISSUED BY METSERVICE 19-Apr-2014

HEAVY RAIN FOR NORTHERN FIORDLAND AND FURTHER HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR BAY OF PLENTY TODAY.

A deep low lying west of the South Island is moving slowly southwards and is forecast to pass by Fiordland this evening. A moist northerly flow is bringing rain to Westland and Fiordland today. A warning for heavy rain remains in force for the ranges of Westland south of Otira. This watch is for Fiordland, from Milford Sound northwards, where rainfall totals today may come close to warning criteria.

Also further heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected today in Bay of Plenty, and a watch for possible severe thunderstorms is in place. This WATCH covers possible short duration heavy rainfalls over the Bay of Plenty until this evening. Please refer to the thunderstorm outlook and severe thunderstorm watches on the MetService website for more details.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9PM SATURDAY


Valid to 8:16pm Saturday 19 Apr 2014

SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR FIORDLAND, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA ISSUED BY METSERVICE 18-Apr-2014

HEAVY RAIN FOR NORTHERN FIORDLAND ON SATURDAY. FURTHER POSSIBLE THUNDERY DOWNPOURS OVER THE UPPER NORTH ISLAND AND ESPECIALLY FOR PARTS OF BAY OF PLENTY THROUGH TO SATURDAY EVENING

A deep low lying west of the South Island is moving slowly southwards and is forecast to cross Foveaux Strait overnight Saturday. A strong moist northeast flow covers the South Island, but should gradually turn northerly as the low moves south.

A warning for heavy rain remains in force for Nelson, northern Marlborough and Westland. This WATCH is for the possibility of rainfall amounts reaching warning criteria (for example 100mm in 24 hours) over northern parts of Fiordland from late Saturday morning to Sunday morning.

Meanwhile, further bands of heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected over the upper half of the North Island through to late Saturday, especially about Bay of Plenty. These thunderstorms and downpours are likely to be intense, but quite localised. This WATCH also covers possible short duration heavy rainfalls over Bay of Plenty through to Saturday evening. Please refer to the thunderstorm outlook and any thunderstorm watches on the MetService website for more details.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Saturday 19th April


Valid to 8:53pm Friday 18 Apr 2014

SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR GISBORNE, HAWKES BAY, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, NELSON

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 17-Apr-2014

HEAVY RAIN EASING ABOUT CENTRAL NEW ZEALAND TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. OUTBREAKS OF HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE FOR WESTERN BAY OF PLENTY AND NELSON ON FRIDAY.

A deep low lying west of the North Island is expected to move slowly south tonight and Friday and gradually weaken, then cross the lower South Island late on Saturday.

A warning for strong winds is in force for western parts of central New Zealand, including northern Wellington, Marlborough Sounds, Nelson, Buller and Westland until early Friday morning. Also, a warning for heavy rain is in force for the Gisborne and eastern Bay of Plenty Ranges, Ruahine Range, Nelson and Marlborough Ranges, including the Kaikoura Range, Canterbury and eastern Otago.

This WATCH is for the possibility of rainfall amounts approaching warning criteria about remaining parts of Gisborne and Hawkes Bay tonight and early Friday morning. Additionally, this WATCH is for the possibility of rainfall amounts approaching short term warning criteria of 50mm in 6 hours about western Bay of Plenty and remaining parts of Nelson during Friday afternoon and evening.

People in these areas are advised to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case parts of this watch are upgraded to a full warning.

Note - the watch for heavy rain has now been lifted for Waikato, the central North Island hill country, Wairarapa and Wellington.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Friday 18 April


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, WAIKATO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TAUPO, TAUMARUNUI, GISBORNE, HAWKES BAY, WAIRARAPA, WELLINGTON, OTAGO

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 16-Apr-2014

HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS FORECAST FOR MANY PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW ZEALAND

A deep low lying northwest of the upper North Island is forecast to move slowly south tonight and Thursday to lie slow moving west of central New Zealand on Friday before weakening and crossing southern New Zealand late Saturday.

A warning for strong winds is in force for many parts of the North Island and northern and western South Island. Also, a warning for heavy rain is in force for Northland north of Whangarei, Auckland, Coromandel Peninsula, Bay of Plenty, the Gisborne Ranges, Taranaki, Wellington, including the Tararua Range, Marlborough, Nelson and Canterbury.

This WATCH is for the possibility of rainfall amounts approaching short term warning criteria of 50mm in 6 hours about Waikato and the central North Island high country from mid-morning Thursday to Thursday evening, and eastern Bay of Plenty from Thursday afternoon to Thursday night. Also, significant rainfall accumulations are possible about the hills and ranges of Hawkes Bay, including remaining parts of Gisborne and Wairarapa during Thursday afternoon and evening. Additionally, a period of easterly rain is expected about eastern Otago from Thursday night through to Friday afternoon, with significant rainfalls likely.

People in all these areas are advised to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case parts of this watch are upgraded to a full warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Thursday 17 April


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, WAIKATO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TAUPO, TAUMARUNUI, GISBORNE, HAWKES BAY, WAIRARAPA, CANTERBURY, OTAGO ISSUED BY METSERVICE 16-Apr-2014

HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS FORECAST FOR MANY PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW ZEALAND

A deep low is forecast to move west of the North Island early Thursday and lie slow moving west of central New Zealand through to Friday night before weakening and crossing southern New Zealand late Saturday.

A warning for strong winds is in force for many parts of the North Island and northern and western South Island. Also, a warning for heavy rain is in force for Coromandel Peninsula, Bay of Plenty, Taranaki, Wellington, Marlborough and Nelson.

This WATCH is for the possibility of rainfall amounts approaching short term warning criteria of 50mm in 6 hours over Northland during Thursday morning, Auckland from dawn Thursday to early afternoon, eastern Waikato near the Kaimai Range and about the central North Island high country from mid-morning Thursday to Thursday evening and eastern Bay of Plenty from Thursday afternoon to Friday morning. 
Also, significant rainfall accumulations are possible about the hills and ranges of Gisborne, Hawkes Bay and Wairarapa during Thursday and possibly Friday for Gisborne.

Finally, a prolonged period of southeast rain is likely over parts of Canterbury, especially about the ranges and near the foothills and also about eastern Otago. Higher parts of Christchurch and Banks Peninsula could also see significant rainfalls during this time.

People in all these areas are advised to remain up to date with the latest forecasts in case parts of this watch are upgraded to a full warning.

Note - the Watch for Southland is lifted.


This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Wednesday 16th April Forecast prepared by: Andy Downs Forecast checked by: Chris Noble

For further information after 2pm contact Duty Forecaster Leigh Matheson

(C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2014

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR COROMANDEL PENINSULA, GISBORNE, HAWKES BAY ISSUED BY METSERVICE 10-Apr-2014

BURST OF HEAVY RAIN FOR EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN AREAS OF THE NORTH ISLAND DURING FRIDAY

A low originating from the sub-tropics is expected to approach the North Island overnight Thursday and move southwards over the North Island during Friday. This low is expected to bring a period of rain with heavy bursts to eastern and northeastern areas of the North Island.

The heaviest rain is likely to be in the Bay of Plenty, including Rotorua and the ranges of Gisborne. A heavy rain warning has now been issued for these areas.

This watch is for the possibility of heavy rain affecting the Coromandel Peninsula, lower lying areas of Gisborne and the ranges of Hawkes Bay from overnight Thursday until late Friday.

People in these areas are advised to keep up to date with the latest forecasts in case any areas in this watch get included in future warnings.


This Watch will be reviewed by 9am Friday 11 April 2014 Forecast prepared by: Gerard Barrow Forecast checked by: Chris Noble

For further information after 9pm contact Duty Forecaster Chris Noble

(C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2014

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, TAUMARUNUI, TAUPO, TAIHAPE, TARANAKI, MANAWATU, WELLINGTON, WAIRARAPA,MARLBOROUGH, NELSON, BULLER, CANTERBURY, OTAGO ISSUED BY METSERVICE AT 0926hrs 15-Mar-2014 

CYCLONE LUSI EXPECTED TO BRING SEVERE WEATHER TO MANY REGIONS THIS WEEKEND 

A depression, formerly Tropical Cyclone Lusi lies just north of New Zealand and is expected to lie about 300km west of Auckland at midnight tonight. The depression will continue to move southwards on Sunday, crossing the north of the South Island Sunday evening.

Widespread heavy rain and easterly gales, already affecting northern areas are spreading southwards today. 

Severe Weather Warnings are in force for heavy rain in Northland, the Coromandel Peninsula, Bay of Plenty, Gisborne, Hawkes Bay, Marlborough (including the Kaikoura Ranges) and Nelson. Warnings are also in force for severe gales in Northland, Auckland, and parts of Waikato. 

This Watch is for the possibility of rain reaching warning criteria today in Auckland (especially about the Hunua and Waitakere Ranges).

Also the watch covers heavy rain on Mt Taranaki on Sunday.

This watch now includes the possibility of heavy falls during Sunday for Canterbury (including Christchurch City), North Otago and Dunedin.

The heaviest falls are likely to be about the coastal hills and ranges of south Canterbury and North Otago.

In addition, easterly gales are expected over most of the North Island and upper South Island, particularly in the lee of ranges.

This Watch is for the possibility of easterly gales becoming severe today about the Coromandel Peninsula, the Central Plateau, Manawatu and Taranaki. Also for Nelson and Buller tonight and Sunday morning.

Finally, as Lusi crosses the South Island, northwest gales in Wellingtn, Wairarapa (south of Masterton) and the Marlborough Sounds could become severe from Sunday evening until Monday morning. 

This will be a significant adverse weather event, affecting many parts of the country.  People are strongly advised to keep up to date with the latest forecasts, warnings and watches. 

This Watch will be reviewed by 9PM

Forecast prepared by: OLIVER DRUCE

Forecast checked by: GERARD BARROW

 (C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2014


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, TAUMARUNUI, TAUPO, TAIHAPE, TARANAKI, MANAWATU, WELLINGTON, WAIRARAPA,MARLBOROUGH, NELSON, BULLER ISSUED BY METSERVICE 14-Mar-2014 

CYCLONE LUSI EXPECTED TO BRING SEVERE WEATHER TO MANY REGIONS DURING THE WEEKEND.

Cyclone Lusi is expected to continue moving south during Saturday, bringing widespread heavy rain and easterly gales to the North Island and the upper South Island. Lusi is expected to cross the South Island during Sunday, then move away to the east 

Severe Weather Warnings are in force for heavy rain in Northland, the Coromandel Peninsula, Bay of Plenty, Gisborne, Hawkes Bay, Marlborough (including the Kaikoura Ranges) and Nelson. Warnings are also in force for severe gales in Northland, Auckland, and parts of Waikato.

This Watch is for the possibility of rain reaching warning criteria in Auckland (especially about the Hunua and Waitakere Ranges) overnight Friday and during Saturday. The Watch for the ranges of Hawkes Bay has been upgraded to a Warning.  Mt Taranaki is now also included in the Watch, as a period of heavy rain is likely during Saturday and another burst of heavy rain is possible on Sunday and amounts may approach warning criteria.

In addition, easterly gales are expected over most of the North Island and upper South Island, particularly in the lee of ranges.

This Watch is for the possibility of easterly gales becoming severe about the Coromandel Peninsula during Saturday, the Central Plateau Saturday afternoon and evening, then Manawatu and Taranaki Saturday evening and early Sunday morning, also for Nelson and Buller Saturday night and Sunday morning.

Finally, as Lusi crosses the South Island, northwest gales in Wellington, Wairarapa (south of Masterton) and the Marlborough Sounds could become severe Sunday evening until Monday morning.

This will be a significant adverse weather event, affecting many parts of the country.  eople are strongly advised to keep up to date with the latest forecasts, warnings and watches. 

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Saturday March 15th Forecast prepared by: Rochelle Fleming Forecast checked by: Heath Gullery 

For further information after 9.30pm contact Duty Forecaster Heath Gullery

 (C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2014


Cyclone Lusi forecast to bring heavy rain and easterly gales to many places.

Cyclone Lusi is expected to move southwards today (Friday), bringing widespread heavy rain and easterly gales to the North Island from tonight (Friday night), and the upper South Island during Saturday. Rain is forecast to become heavy in Northland this evening, and 80-100mm are likely to have accumulated there by Saturday afternoon. The rain should spread quickly southwards, totalling more than 100mm in Coromandel, Bay of Plenty and Gisborne by Sunday morning.

In the upper South Island, Marlborough and Nelson look set to receive the most intense rainfall, with up to 170mm accumulating in the Nelson ranges from Saturday afternoon till noon Sunday.

Easterly gales will accompany the heavy rain, with severe gusts of 120km/h in Northland, Auckland and Coromandel Peninsula, and 130km/h west of the Kaimai Range.

This will be a significant adverse weather event, affecting many parts of the country, and more Severe Weather Warnings and Watches will be issued in the coming days. The heavy rain is likely to cause slips and surface flooding, and the severe easterly gales could make driving hazardous, lift roofs, and bring down trees and powerlines. People are strongly advised to execise extreme caution, and to stay up to date with the latest forecasts, Warnings and Watches.

HEAVY RAIN WARNING

AREA/S AFFECTED

Northland

FORECAST

Rain is forecast to become heavy this evening. In the 21 hours from 6pm Friday till 3pm Saturday, expect 70-100mm of rain to accumulate, mainly about the eastern hills. Peak intensities of 10-15mm/hr.

FREEZING LEVEL: Above 4000 metres.

AREA/S AFFECTED

Coromandel Peninsula and Bay of Plenty west of Whakatane

FORECAST

Rain is forecast to become heavy overnight tonight and Saturday morning. In the 24 hours from 3am Saturday till 3am Sunday in Coromandel, and from 6am Saturday till 6am Sunday in western Bay of Plenty, expect 100-120mm of rain to accumulate. Peak intensities of 15-20mm Saturday morning and afternoon.

FREEZING LEVEL: Above 4000 metres.

AREA/S AFFECTED

The ranges of Gisborne and eastern Bay of Plenty

FORECAST

Heavy rain is forecast to set in during Saturday. In the 24 hours from noon Saturday to noon Sunday, expect 100-120mm of rain to accumulate. Peak intensities of 15-20mm/hr.

FREEZING LEVEL: Above 4000 metres.

AREA/S AFFECTED

The ranges of west of Motueka

FORECAST

Heavy easterly rain is expected to set in during Saturday. In the 21 hours from 3pm Saturday to noon Sunday, expect 120-170mm of rain to accumulate. Peak intensities of 20-30mm Saturday night. Please note, that further rain is expected from the northwest after this period, and the warning is likely to be extended.

AREA/S AFFECTED

Marlborough including the Kaikoura Ranges

FORECAST

Heavy easterly rain is forecast to set in Saturday afternoon. In the 21 hours from 6pm Saturday to 3pm Sunday, expect 100-150mm of rain to accumulate about the Kaikoura Ranges, with 60-80mm elsewhere - mainly about the Sounds and Richmond Range. Peak intensities of 15-25mm during Saturday night and Sunday morning.

FREEZING LEVEL: Above 4000 metres.

STRONG WIND WARNING

AREA/S AFFECTED

Northland and Auckland

FORECAST

Easterly winds are likely to rise to gale force tonight (Friday). From midnight tonight (but 6am Saturday in Auckland) to midnight Sunday, expect easterly gales with severe gusts of 120km/h, mainly about higher ground.

AREA/S AFFECTED

The Kaimai Range, and Waikato near the Kaimais

FORECAST

Easterly winds are forecast to rise to gale tonight. From 6am Saturday to midnight Saturday, expect easterly gale with severe gusts of 130km/h, mainly about the ridges and areas just west of the Kaimais.

NEXT SEVERE WEATHER WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT OR BEFORE 9:00 pm Friday 14-Mar-2014

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA, WAIKATO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, GISBORNE, TAUMARUNUI, TAUPO, TAIHAPE

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 13-Mar-2014

CYCLONE LUSI EXPECTED TO BRING SEVERE WEATHER TO MANY REGIONS DURING THE WEEKEND

Cyclone Lusi is forecast to move out of the tropics on Friday, and is expected to track just west of the North Island on Saturday, before crossing the South Island late Sunday.

Rain and easterly gales are expected to spread onto northern New Zealand from later on Friday, and southwards across the remainder of the North Island on Saturday, then to the upper and eastern South Island later on Saturday and Sunday.

This Watch is for the likelihood of significant heavy rain in Northland, Auckland and the Coromandel Peninsula late Friday or Saturday, and for Bay of Plenty and northern Gisborne on Saturday.

Easterly gales are also expected in these areas, and are also forecast to spread to Waikato (especially near the Kaimai Range) and the Central Plateau. This Watch also covers the likelihood of these becoming severe.

For the remainder of the North Island and upper/eastern South Island, expect a period of heavy rain during the weekend, especially in regions exposed to the east and northeast. Easterly gales are likely in many places, and the risk of these becoming severe is highest in the lee of ranges, such as the Tararuas, Richmond Range, and the Tasman Mountains. Although severe weather is likely, at this stage there is still uncertainty regarding the track of the low and exact areas that will be affected.

This will be a significant adverse weather event, affecting large parts of northern and central New Zealand. People are strongly advised to keep up to date with the latest forecasts, warnings and wathes.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10 am Friday 14 March


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND, AUCKLAND, COROMANDEL PENINSULA ISSUED BY METSERVICE 12-Mar-2014

CYCLONE LUSI EXPECTED TO BRING SEVERE WEATHER TO MANY REGIONS DURING THE WEEKEND.

Cyclone Lusi is expected to move out of the tropics Friday or Saturday. Current forecasts track Lusi just west of the North Island on Saturday then across the upper South Island on Sunday, before moving away to the east on Monday.

Rain and easterly gales are expected to spread onto northern New Zealand from later Friday and southwards across the remainder of the North Island and upper South Island during Saturday. This Watch is for the likelihood of heavy rain exceeding warning criteria in Northland, Auckland and about the Coromandel Peninsula late Friday or Saturday. Easterly gales are also expected in these areas from later Friday and the Watch also covers the likelihood of these becoming severe.

Also, in coastal areas from eastern Northland to western Bay of Plenty, heavy swell combined with very strong onshore winds and low atmospheric pressure could lead to large onshore waves and storm surge.

For the remainder of the North Island and upper South Island, expect a period of heavy rain during the weekend, especially in regions exposed to the east and northeast. Easterly gales are likely in most places, and the risk of these becoming severe is highest in the lee of ranges, such as the Kaimais. Although severe weather is likely, at this stage there is still considerable uncertainty regarding the track of the low and exact areas that will be affected.

People are advised to keep up to date with the latest forecasts, as Warnings will be issued, as well as updates to this Watch, with many other areas likely to be included.

This Watch will be reviewed by 11am Thursday March 13

 


UPDATED 9:53am --- Tropical Cyclone Lusi remains a strong Category 2 cyclone this morning and is likely to today reach Cat 3 strength by this afternoon as it moves away from Vanuatu and into the warm open waters of the Pacific.

 

Media reports yesterday say the storm has already killed one person in Vanuatu.

 

Data - which has been consistent about tracking this storm for 10 days now - suggests it is most likely to makie landfall in, or very near to, Auckland or Northland either late Sat PM/early Sunday AM.

 

The centre of the low is where the strongest winds are. Should the centre of the low come in towards Auckland over the Hauraki Gulf it means the low will unlikely weaken a great deal due to that body of water - it means areas like the eastern Waikato will be very exposed damaging winds, Auckland may have storm surges and a period of severe gales and Northland might see wind and rain damage combined.

 

The centre of the storm also has a storm surge - which could add to coastal flooding if the storm makes landfall during high tide.

 

TIMINGS
We are being inundated with questions about the timing.  No one can be specific on this yet - but roughly:

 

  • Sat PM/early SundayAM the ex-cyclone makes landfall somewhere around Auckland/Northland/Coromandel Peninsula. 
  • On Sunday the centre of the low will track southwards down the North Island.  The weather ahead of it - a bit of wind and rain - will move into northern and eastern parts of the South Island. 
  • Around noon Sunday the centre of the low may be around Taranaki/Wanganui area with severe weather possibly impacting parts of central NZ, however the storm is slowly starting to unwind now.
  • By Sunday night it will be crossing Wellington in a weaker state - but gales and heavy rain still possible.  By Sunday PM strong winds and rain may also move into Canterbury.
  • By noon Monday the storm falls apart almost completely well east of the South Island out in the Pacific Ocean.  

 

SOUTH ISLAND
The ex-cyclone may well affect Nelson, Marlborough and Canterbury at this stage - but it's unclear if the weather will be severe.  Rain is likely for dry parts of Marlborough and Canterbury, which will be welcome.  We'll let you know if we see something more severe moving into the South Island.  For those south of those regions, this system is unlikely to have very much impact on you.

 

DETAILED FORECASTS
The 7 main centres which we do detailed forecasts for are very much regional forecasts at the moment.  For example, Hamilton talks about the Kaimai Ranges.  Palmerston North talks about the ranges.  And Wellington mentions wind risks for Kapiti.  

 

Tauranga, Ohauiti have detailed forecasts - and for the North Island centres those forecasts extend region wide at the moment.

 

FLYING
WeatherWatch.co.nz says some regional flights may be impacted by Lusi.  Highest risk for weather related flight delays falls over Saturday and Sunday, mostly North Island.   It is very hard to make a prediction about which airports/flights might be affected and when.  The airlines and airports themselves will monitor conditions as Lusi moves in - please check with them for further information before your scheduled flight.  International flights are often less impacted due to bigger planes with better equipment - but if conditions get dangerous for ground crews then delays can impact all flights.

 


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

 

If you're wanting more specific rain, wind or swell forecasts for your location this weekend, please use the MAPS link at the top of the page.   

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

 


Latest tracking map - Fiji Met Service

 


Latest sat map / NOAA / MTSAT shows Lusi over Vanuatu. (NZ bottom centre)

 


Latest tracking of Cyclone Lusi from JTWC

 

- WeatherWatch.co.nz

 

 


UPDATED 10:35pm Tuesday --- Tropical Cyclone Lusi has been upgraded to a Category 2 cyclone this afternoon near Vanuatu with the Fiji Met Service predicting the storm will intensfy rapidly into a Cat3 storm.

The central air pressure is currently 985hPa and is expected to drop into the 960s range before reaching New Zealand.

Winds are currently averaging around 90km/h at the centre.

Overnight the computer models shifted the predicted path of Lusi closer towards New Zealand with a direct hit to the upper North Island looking increasingly likely for Saturday night.

Current data now suggests the centre of the storm may pass over our largest city, Auckland, overnight Saturday and into Sunday morning - this could also help fuel damaging winds to the eastern Waikato and Coromandel Peninsula, along with Northland and Auckland.

"Lusi looks like it could be a fairly intense storm when it reaches New Zealand this weekend.  The most severe weather will be wrapped around the centre when it rolls in but many North Islanders can expect a windy and wet weekend" says head weather analyst Philip Duncan.

Rain or showers, along with brisk and strengthening easterlies, will push southwards across much of, if not the entire, North Island.

The exact path of the centre of Lusi is still unknown at this stage for New Zealand but the centre looks likely to cross somewhere around Auckland then will unwind over the North Island on Sunday - with rain easing in the north on Sunday morning.

If the low makes landfall in Auckland it could also lead to coastal storm surge flooding in vlunerable places.

Our updates will continue with multiple daily updates from now until at least Sunday PM.


- WeatherWatch.co.nz


MAPS as of Tuesday PM


Above/Below / JTWC


 

Above / Saturday morning / ECMWF
Below / Saturday morning / MetOcean 


Below / Latest Pacific Islands tracking map for Lusi, courtesy of Fiji Met

- WeatherWatch.co.nz 


Cyclone Lusi - Your FAQs

Cyclone Lusi continues to slowly churn away near Vanuatu - and will likely rapidly intensify over the next three days as it approaches New Zealand from the north.

The weather around this low will be the usual rough weather we get - bit of wind and rain/showers, with some regions staying fairly dry to start with this weekend.

However near the centre of this low winds will likely be hurricane force with intense rain.  This is the main area of concern - but this belt of severe weather does not cover the entire system - mostly near the centre.

So until we can accurately pinpoint where the centre will track (and the models are starting to make this clearer now) we can't yet be too specific about rainfall totals and windspeed maximums.

Generally speaking northern NZ is exposed to heavy rain and strong winds this weekend - but the lower North Island and central New Zealand may also be impacted for at time.

In contrast Southland looks mostly sunny and dry this weekend. 


Graphic : Rough timings and locations for Lusi as the storm slips southwards over the next five days.



How strong will the winds be?
Around the centre of the low we expect sustained winds between gale and hurricane force (basically 65km/h to 120km/h).  However the local georgaphy here in NZ can boost winds - or reduce them.  120km/h winds blowing over the Kaimai Ranges, for example, can then speed up to 150km/h +.  Other ranges can block the winds - all comes down to the intensity of the low and wind angle as it moves in on Saturday/Sunday.

Where will it be windy?
Most of the North Island will have blustery weather at some point this weekend - not all wiill have gales - but some pockets will likely be exposed to damaging gales.  North Island regions west of main ranges are most exposed - so too are all northern regions near the centre of the low. At this stage our main concern for gales will be the eastern Waikato/western Kaimai Ranges, Coromandel Peninsula also parts of Central Plateau, Northland and Auckland.

Will the rain end the dry conditions?
Again it depends on where the centre of the low tracks.  Plenty of regions will receive rain from this low - and right now we do expect soaking rains in some of our driest regions.  But it may not be until later this week that we can lock in with high confidence those exposed to light rain, heavy rain or missing out altogether.  Driest regions in the north of the country will be most exposed to the rain from this low - but it may be too much of a good thing for some areas - rain warnings are likely in our view. This will please many farmers - but may be of concern for those in low lying areas vulnerable to flooding.

When will you be able to lock in more details?
We expect to able to on Wednesday PM and Thursday PM.  We also expect MetService to issue more information in the coming days which will help people plan accordingly.

Is it possible severe weather will miss NZ?
As with any tropical low there is always an element of surprise - even for the most experienced meteorologists.  There is certainly a chance that weakening of the low combined with a slight direction change could see severe weather risks reduced - but for 9 days that has not been what the various computer models have been predicting.  Again we will be able to lock in more around Weds PM / Thurs. 

Is this storm going to be big?
Every ex-tropical cyclone is different - even if they look the same as they move in.  Bola, Fergus, Drena and Wilma have been the four biggest tropical storms to hit New Zealand since 1988. Sometimes you dont know how significant a tropical storm will be until the day before it arrives/as it's moving in. Other storms have 'died' just 100kms north of Northland.  This one doesn't look overly large - but the models do pick it being intense and deep this weekend over northern NZ, before it falls apart on Monday/Tuesday.

Will everyone be exposed to severe weather?
No - in fact we expect some regions/centres to miss out on severe wind and rain - but those who are exposed do have fairly high risks for severe weather.

Who is most exposed to this storm?
The entire North Island and the upper South Island. However severe weather will likely be focused on the north at first, then may slide further south towards the lower North Island - depending on if the storm holds its strength.

Is it guaranteed to hit us?
No one can say with 100% certainty but right now we have 80 - 90% confidence of a direct hit this weekend - but the storm could weaken rapidly once it moves in.  However latest models don't support that, they show it taking until Monday to fall apart.   This is why we are now doing updates two to three times a day now.

Will it still be a tropical cyclone when it reaches NZ?
No, usually cyclones lose their technical "tropical cyclone" title as they transition out of the tropics and over cooler waters near NZ.  This transition changes the structure of the cyclone and is why it can be a little tricky tracking them in advance with high precision - especially in a country as narrow as New Zealand .  Regardless of the technicality, Lusi's remnants may still pack similar strengh to Category 1 or 2 tropical storm.  Bola, Drena, Fergus and Wilma technically lost their cyclone titles - but 25 years on we still refer to them by their names and call them cyclones.

- WeatherWatch.co.nz 


Updated 8:40am --- Tropical Cyclone Lusi remains a Category 1 cyclone this morning over Vanuatu with the Fiji Met Service predicting the storm will intensfy rapidly into a Cat3 storm.

The central air pressure is currently 987hPa and is expected to drop into the 960s range before reaching New Zealand.

Overnight the computer models shifted the predicted path of Lusi closer towards New Zealand with a direct hit to the upper North Island looking increasingly likely - although still not yet locked in.

"Lusi looks like it could be a fairly intense storm when it reaches New Zealand this weekend.  The most severe weather will be wrapped around the centre when it rolls in but many North Islanders can expect a windy and wet weekend" says head weather analyst Philip Duncan.

Rain or showers, along with brisk and strengthening easterlies, will push southwards across much of, if not the entire, North Island.

The exact path of the centre of Lusi is still unknown at this stage for New Zealand but the centre looks likely to cross somewhere fom Auckland and Northland to Bay of Plenty and East Cape, as it tracks southwards then slows down and finally falls apart.

If the low makes landfall in Auckland it could also lead to coastal storm surge flooding in vlunerable places.

Our updates will continue with twice daily updates until the weekend.

 


MAPS as of Tuesday AM


Above/Below / JTWC


 

Above / Saturday morning / ECMWF
Below / Saturday morning / MetOcean 


Below / Latest Pacific Islands tracking map for Lusi, courtesy of Fiji Met

- WeatherWatch.co.nz 


Tropical Cyclone Lusi has been named today by the Fiji Met Service and currently lies over Vanuatu as a category 1 tropical storm.

Winds are sustained at gale force.

Forecasters expect Lusi to grow into a Cat 3 or 4 cyclone before being technically downgraded before reaching New Zealand waters this Friday/weekend. While the storm will likely lose it's cyclone status before arriving here, it may well still retain Cat 1 or 2 strength.

The exact path of the centre of Lusi is unknown at this early stage for New Zealand but the centre could cross anywhere from Northland to just east of the North Island over the weekend.

With tropical cyclones the severe weather is near the centre - so until we can lock in exactly where the centre will track it makes it hard to pinpoint severe weather risks in NZ.  However generally speaking heavy rain could affect northern and eastern areas and severe gales could affect a number of North Island regions.

Our updates will continue with twice daily updates until the weekend.

 


MAPS as of Monday PM

Above/Below / JTWC


 

Above / Saturday morning / ECMWF
Below / Saturday morning / MetOcean 


Below / Latest Pacific Islands tracking map for Lusi, courtesy of Fiji Met

- WeatherWatch.co.nz 


 

Updated 8:10am Monday -- A potentially damaging tropical storm is on the horizon for New Zealand as various computer models agree on a similar track and intensity of the predicted low.

WeatherWatch.co.nz head weather analyst Philip Duncan says while tropical storms can be unpredictable the data suggests a cyclone is highly likely to form.  "Various computer models have been picking this storm for well over a week now but over the past 72 hours they have alligned and that has given us more confidence".

Mr Duncan says long range data suggests rain - which is desperately needed across very dry parts of the North Island and still some parts of Canterbury - is looking likely this weekend and may well be heavy.

Meanwhile in the past 24 hours both American and European weather modelling agencies have intensfied the low - forecasting central airpressure may be in the 970hPa range, giving it similar strength to a category 1 or 2 cyclone creating sustained winds above hurricane force (120km/h).

(Image - European wind map shows an intense tropical storm moving into northern NZ late Friday. This same organisation accurately predicted the track of cyclone Yasi in 2011).

The mountain ranges can then funnel those wind speeds higher, for example the eastern Waikato where the Kaimai Ranges might push those winds closer to 150km/h and higher.

"We still have a few days to go before we can be sure this isn't just the computers over-predicting as they do from time to time, but based on the current data we could expect damaging winds, slips and flooding as a result of this low. The models continue to paint a very serious picture and New Zealanders, especially in the north of the country, should be keeping up to date with the forecasts".

So far across Monday the models remain the same - predicting an intense and deep ex-clone passing over - or near to - Northland this Saturday.

WeatherWatch.co.nz says tropical lows can be quite unpredictable when they head to New Zealand due to them transitioning from a warm centred tropical storm to a cold centred ex-cyclone.  This transition often happens just as the low moves in towards Northland and is frequently why long range forecasts for tropical systems chop and change.

However confidence remains moderate to high of this storm hitting New Zealand directly sometime between Friday and Sunday.  

The storm may also weaken before arriving or slide down either coastline - but the chances of that happening appear to be becoming less likely with each passing day.

WeatherWatch.co.nz will have daily updates on the forecast low.

The Fiji Met Service said Sunday that they have moderate to high confidence the current tropical depression near New Caledonia will become a tropical cyclone by Tuesday.

Images / Above, US & NZ data plots a deep ex-cyclone moving into the upper North Island with severe gales and heavy rain on Friday/Saturday.  Below / Same data this time plotting the wind specifically.

 

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR WAIKATO, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, TAUMARUNUI, TAUPO, WELLINGTON, MARLBOROUGH, NELSON, BULLER, WESTLAND, FIORDLAND,

CANTERBURY, OTAGO, SOUTHLAND ISSUED BY METSERVICE AT 25-Jan-2014

BURST OF HEAVY RAIN FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTH ISLAND, ALSO THE CENTRAL NORTH ISLAND. NORTHERLY GALES ABOUT PARTS OF THE SOUTH ISLAND, ALSO WELLINGTON.

A low and associated front moving east over the Tasman Sea are expected to cross New Zealand during Sunday. A strong, moist, northerly flow precedes this front, bringing a period of rain to much of the country.

A Warning is in force for Fiordland north of Milford Sound and the ranges of Westland south of Otira, the Canterbury Headwaters (between Lake Pukaki and the Waimakariri River), the ranges of northwest Nelson, Bay of Plenty east of Kawerau and northern Gisborne.

This Watch is for the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach short duration warning criteria (50mm in 6 hours) about the remainder of Fiordland (mainly north of Doubtful Sound) and Westland, the remaining Canterbury Headwaters, also the Otago Headwaters and Buller. In these areas rain could become heavy for a time Sunday morning and early afternoon.

The Watch now also includes inland parts of Southland, where rain is expected to become persistent and heavier Sunday morning, and should ease Sunday evening.

For the remaining ranges of Nelson, including the Richmond Range,rain is likely to be heavy for a time Sunday afternoon.

In addition, a period of locally intense short-duration rain with thunderstorms is expected during Sunday afternoon and evening in Waikato, Taumarunui, Taupo, Tongariro National Park and Bay of Plenty ( west of Kawerau). This Watch is for the possibility of warning criteria being exceeded in some places, especially with thunderstorms.

This Watch is for the possibility that northerly gales could become severe for a time about exposed parts of Fiordland, Westland, Otago, the Canterbury High Country, Marlborough and Wellington during Sunday morning and afternoon.

People in these areas are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts in case part of this Watch is upgraded to a Warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 10am Sunday January 26th

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR FIORDLAND, WESTLAND, BULLER, OTAGO, CANTERBURY, MARLBOROUGH, NELSON, WELLINGTON, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA

ISSUED BY METSERVICE 25-Jan-2014

BURST OF HEAVY RAIN FOR WESTERN AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE SOUTH ISLAND,INCLUDING THE BAY OF PLENTY. NORTHERLY GALES ABOUT PARTS OF THE SOUTH ISLAND AND WELLINGTON.

A low and associated front moving east over the Tasman Sea are expected to cross New Zealand during Sunday. A strong, moist, northerly flow precedes this front, bringing a period of rain to western and northern parts of both islands during the day.

The heaviest rain is expected about the Westland Ranges, Fiordland north of Milford Sound, Northwest Nelson Ranges, the Canterbury Headwaters (between Lake Pukaki and the Waimakariri River), eastern parts of Bay of Plenty, and northern Gisborne. A warning is now in force for these areas.

This Watch is for the possibility that rainfall accumulations could approach short duration warning criteria (50mm in 6 hours) about remaining parts of Fiordland (mainly north of Doubtful Sound), Westland, and the Canterbury Headwaters, also the Otago Headwaters during Sunday morning, then about remaining Nelson Ranges, including the Richmond Range Sunday afternoon, then remaining parts of Bay of Plenty Sunday evening.

Northerly winds are expected to rise to gale about exposed parts of the South Island, including Wellington during Sunday morning and afternoon. This Watch is for the possibility that northerly gales could become severe for a time about exposed parts of Fiordland, Westland, Otago, the Canterbury high country, Marlborough and Wellington during this time.

People in these areas are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecast in case part of this Watch is upgraded to a Warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Saturday 25 January

 

 


SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR COROMANDEL PENINSULA, BAY OF PLENTY ROTORUA, NELSON, MARLBOROUGH, CANTERBURY, OTAGO ISSUED BY METSERVICE 16-Jan-2014

GALE WESTERLIES ABOUT EASTERN AREAS TODAY AND TONIGHT, INCLUDING GOLDEN BAY. GALE SOUTHWESTERLIES ABOUT EASTERN OTAGO, COROMANDEL AND WESTERN BAY OF PLENTY FRIDAY.

A front is expected to cross the South Island today (Thursday), then the North Island during Friday morning. The front is preceded by strong west to northwesterlies, with gales in exposed eastern places from Otago to Hawkes Bay, including Wellington and Golden Bay.

The front is then followed by a change to strong, cold southwesterlies, with gales about the east coast of the South Island later today (Thursday), then exposed parts of the North Island tomorrow.

A warning for severe gale westerlies is in force for north Canterbury, Wairarapa and Hawkes Bay south of Hastings.

This Watch is for the Canterbury High Country, exposed parts of Marlborough (mainly about southern areas), and Golden Bay where there is the possibility of west to northwest gales becoming severe from this afternoon, then easing from the south tonight.

In addition, this Watch is for the possibility that southwesterly gales may become severe for a time about eastern Otago (especially about the Peninsula) from late this afternoon until Friday evening, and about eastern parts of Coromandel and western Bay of Plenty ( mainly north of Rotorua and south of Whitianga) during Friday and evening.

People are advised to keep up to date with the latest forecasts in case part of this Watch is upgraded to a Warning.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Thursday 16 January Forecast prepared by: Leigh Matheson Forecast checked by: Gerard Barrow


(C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2014

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